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Website improvements

Hi all, A quick note to offer guidance on the new website. As well as the layout changes that make it easier to access content for new readers, it comes with a dramatically improved sign-up and resubscription process, greatly enhanced speed, and a much better mobile experience (since 95% of traffic is now phone!). The

Latest posts

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Gen X: The Retirement Danger Zone

The tax question that doesn’t matter Generation X is entering what is likely the most important financial decade of their lives. Many Gen X investors now have: Meaningful superannuation balances Investments outside super Peak earning power Less than 15 years until retirement Poor asset allocation Insufficient portfolio growth Inflation eroding purchasing power Living longer than expected

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Millennials: The Real Risk Isn’t Capital Gains Tax

Most Millennials are asking the wrong question Millennials have spent much of the past decade navigating housing affordability, rising interest rates, higher living costs and shifting tax policy. Labor’s latest reforms add another layer of uncertainty, particularly around capital gains. The obvious question many investors are asking is: Will I pay more tax? It is

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Weekend reading and MB media appearances

International Reading: Donald Trump set to unleash new ‘sweeping’ tariffs on 60 countries within hours – The Mirror Trump raises tariffs on 60 countries for forced labor but the Federal Minimum Wage hasn’t changed since July 2009 – Washington Post ‘Starvation Wages’ at Giant US Corporations Force Workers to Seek Taxpayer-Funded Aid | “No one

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Panic grips property industry as prices decline

The federal budget’s abolition of negative gearing and changes to capital gains tax (CGT) have stymied investor demand for residential property and sent the market into a broad-based correction. The property industry is clearly upset, with backlash still running strong 10 weeks after the budget changes were delivered. A survey of 265 industry professionals by

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Time for the mining diesel rebate to go

It’s time. Louise Crawford – convener of the highly influential Labor Environment Action Network (LEAN) – moved an amendment to ensure the Albanese government’s tax policies remove disincentives for orderly decarbonisation. “Labor will ensure that all policies, including taxation, work together to provide appropriate incentives and remove disincentives for orderly decarbonisation,” the amendment, passed unopposed

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Battery subsidies are more reverse Robin Hood energy policy

The taxation arrangements around electric vehicles (EVs) are a reverse Robin Hood arrangement that extracts taxes from ordinary Australians to distribute to the rich. A case in point is the EV fringe benefits tax (FBT) exemption, which was introduced in 2022 to make EVs more affordable for employees through salary packaging and novated leases. Treasury

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Australian dollar shot to pieces

DXY is on the verge of a safe-haven breakout. AUD is breaking down. JPY is hreaded for the seventh level of hell. The twins of good and evil are back. Don’t buy gold yet. It will get flushed if we get a VaR crash. Base metals were hit. I can’t see why big miners shouldn’t

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Labor’s housing targets slip further from reality

In October 2025, housing minister Clare O’Neil proclaimed on Twitter (X) that “for the first time in a decade, new homes are being built faster”, that “the only way to make homes more affordable is to build more of them”, and “we’re doing exactly that”: However, the latest dwelling completions data from the Australian Bureau

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Stocks begin to panic

TME with the charts. With the apparent end of the Trump TACO, which would already have been triggered by now under normal circumstances, equities face a new, starker reality: going long into an unprecedented oil shock and recession.  Pressure Is Building The technical backdrop continues to deteriorate. While major indices have yet to break decisively

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War explodes as Red Sea shuts

Israel is laughing all the way to the White House, which it pwns. Houthis intensify: After attacking two Saudi oil tankers and extending their blockade of Saudi shipping. Houthi sources also say Aramco oil facilities could become a future target if the blockade on Yemen is not lifted. Trump intensifies threats of a “massive attack”:

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Mortgage stress hits post-GFC high

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) three interest rate hikes this year have pushed Australian mortgage rates to near record-high levels globally. As a result, mortgage stress has risen to its equal highest level since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), according to Roy Morgan Research. In the three months to June, Roy Morgan estimates that

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El Nino plus oil shock triggers housing meteorite

Deutsche wraps us up. Strong El Niño Forecast: 81% probability of “very strong” event (≄1.5°C) by Q4 2026, ranking among most severe in modern history (US CPC), triggering multi-dimensional supply shocks. El Niño Supply Shock Impact: Directly elevates inflation via food/energy price spikes (food = ~1/3 consumer spending in EMs), exacerbating supply-chain stresses and risking

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MB Fund Podcast: Property Prices vs Affordability

In this week’s podcast, Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, examines why falling Australian property prices still aren’t translating into better housing affordability. We unpack the forces keeping home ownership out of reach for many Australians, why lower prices alone aren’t enough, and what this disconnect means for buyers, policymakers, and investors. Download presentation

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Unemployment holds steady, pressuring RBA to hike

Despite most leading indicators pointing to rising unemployment, today’s June labour force report from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed no change in the nation’s unemployment rate, which remained at 4.4%. The internals were also strong. As illustrated below, the total number of people employed jumped by 76,300 (29,300 full-time), and the unemployment rate

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AI CDO anyone?

The story never changes. When you see tearaway growth, a bubble, and super profits, it is always the same cause: debt. Hidden debt at U.S. tech giants swelled eightfold in roughly four years to an estimated $1.65 trillion as artificial intelligence investments ballooned, a Nikkei study shows, exceeding actual debt and making it tougher for

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South Australia is gas cartel exhibit A

SA is what happens when you let gas robber barons wreck your energy transition. SA has excellent renewable assets, but, as with all renewables, they are intermittent, so you need a reliable source of backup power to make the system work efficiently. For SA, that is gas; and, ironically, it was Santos, the great South

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Australia’s job market continues to weaken

Later this morning, we will receive the June labour force accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), which will be a key input into the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision-making matrix ahead of next month’s monetary policy meeting. With trimmed mean inflation remaining stubbornly high and the global oil price ticking higher amid

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South Australians urged to accept power blackouts

South Australia offers a glimpse into the energy future facing Australia. South Australia is the Australian mainland’s leader in renewable energy, with the highest penetration of wind and solar generation in the country. South Australia closed its last coal-fired power plant in 2016 and now generates more than three-quarters of its electricity from wind and

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Gas cartel legal threats are a bad joke

More bullshit today from a gas cartel that appears beaten. Australia’s largest gas companies are preparing for a potential legal fight against Labor’s proposed east coast gas reservation scheme, with producers seeking advice ahead of the release of legislation. Industry sources say producers are examining whether the Albanese government’s reforms can be challenged on constitutional,

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Trump sets Gulf ablaze

Trump’s war on the Gulf is going swimmingly. The 12th day of the renewed American campaign against Iran has begun. Iran starts a series of counterattacks. For each attack on shipping in Hormuz, President Donald Trump threatens to bomb a civilian target. Despite the lack of proof of nuclear enrichment, Trump claims the United States