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Wind projects drought threatens energy transition
Over the past decade, taxpayers have heavily subsidised virtually every large-scale renewable project undertaken in Australia. To meet the federal government’s 82% renewable energy target (RET), Australia must retire most of its current coal fleet and replace it with about 6–7 GW of new large-scale renewable generation annually, along with several gigawatts of storage. However,
Podcast: The Financial Mess Behind AI Boom’s Problem Children
In this week’s podcast, Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, digs into the financial mess behind AI’s problem children — from mounting debt and soaring infrastructure costs to delayed data centres and projects being put on hold. We examine what the troubles at companies like CoreWeave and NEXTDC reveal about the risks beneath the
Iron ore fruitcakes unite!
I almost admire Andrew Forrest today. Andrew Forrest wants diesel gone from Fortescue’s Pilbara mines by 2028, as the mining magnate lashed US President Donald Trump and Russia’s Vladimir Putin for pushing up the cost of living for Australians. Speaking at Fortescue’s annual shareholder meeting on Wednesday, Dr Forrest said both Australia’s mining industry and
The simple solution to Australia’s rental crisis
ABC 7.30 Report ran a segment on how Australia’s rental crisis is forcing tenants into group accommodation and other sub-optimal living arrangements to save on costs. “Real estate agents say these tight markets are pushing some renters beyond the city limits or into new living arrangements”, reporters Nicole Hegarty and Courtney Bembridge said. “The suburbs
Consumers shrug off RBA
Westpac’s credit card tracker is powering. The Westpac–DataX Card Tracker Index* has edged down slightly since late September, slipping 0.9pts to 160.6 in the week ended October 17. Despite this, growth in activity continues to track a robust pace with quarterly momentum running at close to 2%qtr and annual growth at 6%yr. Some of this
Albo targets the wrong immigration trade deal
In May 2023, the Albanese government announced changes to Australia’s Working Holiday Maker (WHM) Program and the UK’s Youth Mobility Scheme as part of the Australia-UK Free Trade Agreement (AUKFTA). Below are the specific changes: From 1 July 2023, UK passport holders will be able to apply for a Working Holiday visa between the ages
War delivers coal boom
Latest war headlines. Netanyahu 58 seats. Eisenkot 48 seats. Arab parties 19 seats. First to 61 wins. Eisenkot stii favourite. Iran tells Mecca, US attack will destroy them. Trump says US attack post-midterms is on the table. Brent and cracks bounced. Physical markets are still tight. LNG to the moon. It would make sense for
One Nation’s rise is a symptom of a broken system
Through academia, the halls of power and elements of social media there is a often a common narrative thread, the idea that everything is okay enough and that whatever criticism may actually be valid is largely derived from the mistakes and policy choices from those on the other side of the political and ideological divide.
Australia’s inflation is getting worse, despite rate hikes
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has hiked the official cash rate four times this year to a 15-year high of 4.60%. As a result, Australia now has the second-highest official policy rate in the advanced world, behind Iceland. Despite the RBA’s aggressive rate hikes, Australia’s inflation problem continues to worsen. On Wednesday, the Australian
Strong inflation sets course for RBA to hike next week
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for September 2026. The key movements are illustrated below: Headline CPI rose by 4.3% in the 12 months to September 2026, up from 4.0% in the 12 months to August. Housing was the largest contributor to annual inflation in September, rising by
Buying the Madman
TME on the crash under the boom. The great volatility disconnect Something unusual is happening beneath the surface of equities. Defensive sectors are showing bubble-like behavior, US earnings moves keep exceeding what options price in, and Europe is paying up for volatility that rarely materializes. Meanwhile, the semiconductor washout is creating interesting upside opportunities, while
Perth’s housing market is in deep trouble
Six months ago, Perth’s housing market looked impervious to a house price correction, with values continuing to grow at a solid pace. The tables have well and truly turned, with Perth’s dwelling values now falling at the equal fastest pace among the major capital cities, down by 1.7% over the past month, according to Cotality.
Iron ore “nasty”
Ferrous prices are in free fall, led by hot-rolled coil, a bad sign for hot metal output. Iron ore is at new two-year lows. But not quite if you normalise freight rates. Mid-October CISA data was soft again. Even so, inventories rose. Steel output is very shitty. Deteriorating profitability among Chinese steelmakers has further weighed
The next Victorian government must downsize the bureaucracy
The Victorian budget is drowning in debt. Net debt is forecast to hit $200 billion by the end of the decade: Credit ratings agency Moody’s recently forecast that the state would spend $1 of every $10 of revenue earned on interest payments by the end of the decade: Wages are the Victorian budget’s largest expense.
Shorts stampede Australian dollar
DXY looks ready for more bounce. That said, with France calming down, EUR could do it instead. The twins have death-crossed. As soon as oil eases, the growth party resumes. Not so obvious for EM. But screamingly so for junk. As duration rallies. Stocks to the moon! It’s not exactly complex. What is a little
Israel votes on Iran’s future
War headlines today. Israel votes. More tankers on fire. It was a better day for Brent and cracks. LNG too. ANZ sees China wading back into oil. As Middle Eastern (ME) supply recovers, China’s refinery demand and inventory rebuild will again be key to absorbing additional barrels. Recent data suggest they are snapping up the
AI’s hunger for power catches America unprepared
As the realities of the new world unfolding before our eyes continue to become apparent, challenges thought largely solved have once again been brought back to the forefront. Between 2005 and 2020, total U.S. electricity consumption grew at an average annual rate of just 0.1%. This led some to conclude that the challenges presented by
Australia closes door on non-genuine international students
Over the past two years, the Albanese government has increased the cost, evidentiary burden, and scrutiny of student visas to stem the flow of non-genuine students. Measures introduced include: Tougher English-language requirements: From March 2024, the minimum English proficiency standard for student visas increased from an IELTS equivalent 5.5 to 6.0. Major increase in student
Join me tonight on DFA Live with Martin North
Tonight I’ll appear on DFA Live with Martin North from 8.00pm AEST, where we will dive into the dramatic falls in home prices and whether this signals a broader malaise in Australia’s economy. If so, what can be done about it, and how should households prepare for a potential recession? You can ask a question
Is it time for a payroll tax on bank jobs outsourced overseas?
National Australia Bank (NAB) recently announced plans to cut 2,500 jobs by mid-2027, including 1,500 by the end of this year. However, NAB has now revealed it plans to abolish 3,200 jobs before Christmas, although it will invite some displaced staff to apply for new jobs through a process known as ‘spill-and-fill’. A senior NAB manager has likened
AI jobs panic begins
News is leading the charge, oddly. Design graduate Harriet Lindsay has spent nearly a year emailing, calling and applying – but she still can’t land a job after spending $25,000 to obtain her UTS degree. After contacting about 200 design firms across Australia, the 23-year-old from Sydney’s Northern Beaches is starting to wonder whether she
Victorian Labor faces electoral annihilation
If the latest opinion polls are accurate, the Victorian Labor government faces a crushing defeat at November’s state election. The latest Newspoll reported by The Australian suggests Victoria’s political landscape has shifted dramatically ahead of the 28 November election, with the Coalition holding a commanding lead over Labor. Labor’s primary vote has fallen 4 points
Godzilla El Nino largest in a century
The Godzilla El Nino just keeps growing. BOM animation. There’s no stopping it. Here are the strongest El Niños on record compared to today. UBS pulls no punches. Strongest El Niño in more than 75 years According to the expert, the current El Niño is unequivocally the strongest observed since modern sea surface temperature monitoring
Australia’s “worst ever” housing crash beckons
Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye has posted the following chart on X (Twitter) showing that the current “crash” in Australian dwelling values is “officially the worst ever”: “Current Aussie housing crash is the worst ever recorded since 1980 – national capital city prices are currently falling at a 16% annualised pace based on the last three